A Review of VectorVest Trading Software PDF Print E-mail
Written by Matt Blackman   
Tuesday, 27 March 2007

 

The Fusion Trader’s Secret Weapon

A Review of VectorVest Online Stock Trading Software

 By Matt Blackman

Traditionally, the gap between fundamental and technical traders/investors has been more gulf than line. Each group views the other with skepticism more akin to enemy troops rather than members of the same profession.

Technical analysts believe that all they need to know about a stock can be found in its price chart. By the time the market knows about key fundamentals, they have already been priced into the stock. One only has to look at the approach of a value or buy-and-hold investor for an example of this, they claim. A value investor buys stocks when the price drops since the cheaper the price, the greater the value. This approach with stocks like Enron and WorldCom resulted in colossal losses for those who used it. 

Fundamental analysts, on the other hand, charge their technical counterparts with using past data to make future stock buying and selling decisions. Such an approach, they claim, is tantamount to driving along the freeway relying only on what you see in the rear-view mirror. 

But there is a third group that effectively combines both techniques – the fusion trader.

The efficient market hypothesis postulates that the desires, wishes, fear and greed of all players is immediately priced into a stock, but it effectively ignores existing and longer-term or non-immediate sentiment. 

Let me explain. In a bear market, investors discount good news and react to the bad – in other words good news, bad action (or reaction). In bull markets the opposite occurs. At such times, stocks remain unrealistically priced for extended periods. As one market guru once quipped, the market can remain irrational much longer than someone on the wrong side of it can remain solvent. How efficient is that? 

If the efficient market hypothesis were true, great traders like T. Boone Pickens, Steve Cohen, Paul Tudor Jones and Dan Zanger (to name but a few) would not make as much money as they do. Those at the top of their game win consistently by looking at the market in a different way than the majority. The very best traders are masters of the technical and fundamental; they utilize statistics, quantitative analysis and rely on a variety of factors from macro-economic to micro-technical. In short, the fusion traders use whatever works and do not limit themselves to any single field of market study.

So why are there so few stock charting and analysis programs that do an effective job of handling fundamentals and technicals together? Most utilize one technique thereby requiring the trader/investor to master a number of programs. But is this absolutely necessary? 

Advertised as a program that does an excellent job in addressing the above challenges, does VectorVest live up to expectation? 
 
Manufacturer – VectorVest, Inc., 20472 Chartwell Center Dr. Suite D, Cornelius, N.C., United States. 28031 
 
Phone – 1-888-658-7638 or 1-705-895-4095
 
Version Tested – VectorVest Online Software Version Release 1.3.8. (Online version only.) 

Cost – Subscription based. $645USD/year U.S. version. $545USD/year Canadian version. Both, $745 USD/year.

Recommended System Requirements

  • A PC-compatible computer.

  • Windows 98, NT 4.0 (SP6 or higher), 2000, Millennium or XP.

  • A minimum 300 MHz processor, 500 MHz. or higher preferable.

  • A minimum of 64 MB of RAM, 128 MB recommended.

  • Requires 200 MB of hard disk space.

  • Internet Access with 56k Modem or faster. (DSL/Cable Modem recommended)

  • Monitor and video card supporting 800x600 or higher resolution.

  • Internet Explorer 5.5 (or higher) or other browser with ActiveX capability.

Machines used in testing1) Desktop - MS Windows 2000, 1 Gigabyte RAM, 2.4 Mhz. 80 Gig HD. 2) Laptop- MS Windows XP Pro, 1 gigabyte RAM, 3.2 Mhz.. 80 Gig HD.
 
Connection - Internet via broadband high-speed cable. Also accessed from laptop while travelling from dial-up modem at speeds ranging from 33 to 56 kbps and found it acceptable.

Getting Up and Running

When you receive the package containing the VectorVest manual, installation CD and two-day seminar training CDs, follow the directions in the VectorVest Quick Start Guide. Install time will depend on computer speed but took less than 20 minutes with the subject computers. Users had access to 8,053 U.S. stocks and 2,434 Canadian stocks (VectorVest Canada) at time of test in May 2006. It is recommended that you listen to the two-day seminar to get up to speed to take advantage of the greatest number of program features from the start.

Viewing Charts

Viewing charts in the program is easy. Open VectorVest, type the stock symbol(s) you wish to view in the Quick Lookup window and click either the Details, Report or Graph buttons. The Details window provides a quick snapshot of stock fundamentals such as Price/Earnings, Dividend Yield, Annual Sales and Market Cap as well as a number of VectorVest indicator values. Market technical details such as daily and average volume, opening and closing price, etc. are also displayed.
 
The Report window, provides an extensive overview of the company including Business, Sector and Group together with full explanations of the VectorVest indicators such as Relative Value, Relative Safety, Relative Timing and the VST, plus the VectorVest stock recommendation (Buy, Sell or Hold), Earnings per Share and a host of other fundamental ratios and numbers useful in assessing the stock’s true value. 

The Graph window offers a host of options (please see right-hand side of chart in Figure 1). They include the Standard (bars) and ProTrader (candlesticks) chart options, depending on what format you prefer. Standard charts provide a more fundamental view while ProTrader charts offer a more technical chart view and include a number of useful technical indicators.
Using the text box or text balloon functions, it is easy to add notes to charts to include comments on fundamental ratios, indicators and other useful information.
 
Currently, the program provides end-of-day data only, but there are plans for an intraday version in the works. Since this is an online version, there is no need to download and update data on your computer. It is done automatically on the site.
 
Image 
 
Figure 1 – Weekly VectorVest chart showing the VectorVest Composite Index (VVC) of all 8,034 stocks so it presents a more accurate indication of the market than the Dow Jones Industrial Average or other index with a limited number of issues. The blue line in the upper subgraph is the current value of the index and is computed from forecasted earnings per share, forecasted earnings growth, profitability, as well as rates of interest and inflation. The lower subgraph is the VectorVest Relative Timing Indicator. Note that when value drops below price, a correction generally ensues; when value rises above price, price eventually moves up. Chart provided by www.VectorVest.com.

VectorVest’s USP (unique selling proposition) is the way the user can evaluate stock fundamentals in both graphical and full text report format quickly and easily. Investors and technical traders will appreciate the way that the fundamentals such as stock value, price/earnings and other ratios etc. are displayed graphically for rapid evaluation. 
 
VectorVest proprietary indicators such as the VST, Relative Timing, Relative Safety and the Comfort Index are effective in helping to choose winning stocks. They allow searches for stocks that are rebounding after a price retracement or those that are safer bets with lower volatility. Users can also scan for divergences between stock price and the Relative Timing indicator to warn of potential impending changes in trend at the top and bottom of moves. It is worth taking the time to become familiar with these indicators for new users. 
 
Image 
 
Figure 2 – Weekly chart of the VectorVest Composite (VVC) showing composite earnings growth (GRT) and Sales Growth (Sales GRT) from 1996 to present. Besides these two, other indicators that can be included in the lower subgraph include corporate sales, volume, average volume, price/earnings ratio, market cap (MC), dividend yield (DIV), growth/price/earnings (GPE), which is similar to the Price Earnings Growth (PEG) ratio, as well as a number of proprietary VectorVest fundamental and technical indicators. Chart provided by www.VectorVest.com
 

VectorVest Tools

Market Views – Not only can users look at stocks (Stock Viewer), there is the ability to take a look at the industry (Industry Viewer), sector (Sector Viewer), industry  as well as details and charts of all three. 
 
Performance Graph – Allows comparison between stocks, between a stock and an index, stocks and their industry, stocks and sector comparison or any combination of the above. 

Market Timing Graph – Allows an examination of underlying market direction to evaluate market strength using a combination of the VectorVest Composite, VectorVest Value and the Market Timing Indicator. This is a useful tool in examining market breadth as well since it provides an instant snapshot of the buy/sell ratio or number of stocks with Buy, Sell and Hold recommendations in the VectorVest universe of more than 8,000 stocks (2,400 in the Canadian version). 

VectorVest Views – Daily and weekly market commentaries on overall market strength, the VectorVest Composite (VVC) to examine market direction and strength, Market Timing Indicator (MTI) to determine whether the overall market is in buy or sell mode and a recommended stock trading strategy for the week. 
 
UniSearch – This is one of the most powerful features of the program. It allows users to choose from a list of pre-designed stock scanners or design their own to search for stocks meeting a complex array of technical and/or fundamental conditions. Screens can be set up to display search results in a variety of sorts such as highest to lowest Value, Price/Value, VST, Relative Safety, Relative Timing, volume, rate of change or a host of other parameters. 
 
For example, investors employing the CANSLIM approach (formula developed by William O’Neill), can scan for stocks with Current quarterly earnings growth of a minimum 18%, Annual earnings growth minimum of 25%, New highs, Supply of shares below 100 million shares, Leader of its industry or sector, with Institutional buying and where the Market is heading higher. 
 
Options Pricing Model – Also included is the Black-Scholes Option Pricing Model to calculate theoretical values for American style options. There is also an Options Rate of Return tool calculator included. 

Portfolio Management – VectorVest provides functionality that allows investors to create a list of stocks in a portfolio and follow them as often as they like. Stocks can also be back-tested using a variety of trading strategies to see how the strategies perform over time and compare the returns to the VectorVest Composite index. The user can also create his or her own stock watch lists and update the list as new stocks meeting specific criteria are found.

Conclusion

There are a number of online and computerized stock screeners on the market today. The challenge is that most concentrate on either fundamentals or technicals; few do an adequate job of integrating the two together for the new breed of fusion trader or investor. 
 
VectorVest combines fundamental and technical search parameters in a fashion that allows the user to narrow his or her search so that only stocks meeting the complex combination of fundamental and technical criteria are produced.  On top of well-known performance ratios, the program provides some very useful proprietary indicators to help streamline the process. 
 
VectorVest is not perfect. Since it is a web-based program, it can be slower than a machined-based program, and the speed at which it moves will depend on the speed of your Internet connection. Another challenge with the program is that there are so many functions and possibilities available, it can seem daunting to the new user. It is not for the faint of heart or uncommitted market player. But from this author’s perspective, such shortfalls were far outweighed by the program’s benefits. 
 
In short, this reviewer has yet to find a program that is as effective in finding stocks that meet a complex array of technical and fundamental conditions. It performed well in finding stocks that had the potential to outperform in bull markets as well as the weakest candidates in bear markets. 
 
VectorVest is a useful tool for the fusion trader or investor. Like all great players before them, the best of tomorrow will be those who realize that the key to success in the market is finding and using anything that works in keeping them one step ahead of the competition.
Last Updated ( Monday, 23 July 2007 )
 
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